REFOCUS YOUR PORTFOLIO

I Recently dropped a few stocks in my portfolio:

ETP, VTR, HCN ( High yields names) in favor of MA & V ( long term growth).

Why:

  1. high yield REITS & UTILITIES will continue to suffer in a raising interest rate environment. (even those with good balance sheets and good moats)

2)  there is no hope for much capital appreciation at current valuation levels

what is the bet then ?

Having a 20 years horizon + I am betting that Visa & MasterCard will still be around with large economic moats to move money around. And the cherry on the Sunday…… they don’t take RISK THEY JUST EXECUTE TRANSACTIONS!!!

 

T

 

 

APPLE CAPITAL RETURN

apple stock capital return

 

I wanted to share this fantastic article from my friends at Suredividend.com. I believe eventually Apple can withdraw fairly easily 4 to 5 % of the float per year for the next 5 to 10 years which will rocket the Earnings per share drastically along with giving substantial potential for additional dividend increases

 

T

 

 

 

Rising rates can be bullish

 

Despite the recent turbulence, historically, “equities have gained significantly in periods of rising rates,” wrote Jodie Gunzberg, managing director and head of U.S. equities at S&P Dow Jones Indices, in an email. “Since 1971, the S&P 500 has gained about 20% on average in rising rate periods, has gained 8 of 9 times and has gained nearly 40% twice, with less than a 4% loss for its worst rising rate period.” Gunzberg’s analysis evaluated the benchmark U.S. index on a total-return basis.

rising rates

“Since the rising rates are happening in a profitable economy with strong growth forecasts and increasing dividend payouts (with an extra boost from the income tax reduction), the variables impacting the equity duration are moving to love stocks rather than hate them. This makes sense because interest rates may not drive equities but both can rise concurrently from the environment that lifts them.”

Per her analysis, for every 100 basis point increase in interest rates, every sector, investment strategy, and market-capitalization size category rises. Small stocks see the biggest gain, rising an average of 7.3% on every 100 basis-point rise, while mid-cap stocks gain 5.9% and large-cap stocks advance 2.5%, on average.

“The growth acceleration that cancels the negative equity duration is the same growth that propels small-caps so much, putting them in a leading spot to rise with interest rates – especially since monetary policy is not too tight so that rising interest rates don’t hinder the borrowing by small companies too much,” Gunzberg wrote.

Time will tell, but monetary expansion since 2009 could also add up to this possibility

 

T

Initiated position in BAM & BIP

bip stock

 

I have initiated a small position in  & BIP

 

Why?

Diversified asset base

The partnership owns a strong and diversified portfolio of assets, including utilities, transportation, energy, and communications infrastructure across North and South America, Asia Pacific, and Europe.

This portfolio of critical infrastructure assets globally provides long-term investors nice diversification and helps the company generate stable cash flows with minimal maintenance capital expenditures.

Its assets range from electricity and gas distribution businesses in Australia and the U.S., railroads in South America, and a portfolio of 36 ports in North America, Asia Pacific, the U.K., and across Europe.

As global customers use these critical assets, Brookfield gets paid a utilization fee, which generates stable cash flow. The company distributes the most of its cash flow among shareholders in dividends.

Strong capital gains

Investors who bought Brookfield Infrastructure units in 2009, when it started trading, have seen the value of their units surge more than three times — a return of 347%.

On a total-returns basis, the company has delivered a 27% return on annualized basis, far exceeding many of its peers. The company has been able to produce superior returns because its businesses generally operate under regulated or contractual frameworks that provide sustainable cash flows.

Because the company’s assets are diversified by sector and geography, its portfolio’s exposure to any single counterparty, regulatory regime, or market fluctuation is reduced.

In the recent quarter, the growth in the company’s cash flows has been led by a strong and growing utility segment. Funds from operations from utilities surged 68% from the same period a year ago to $168 million.

The current equity offering suggests that the company is still in growth mode, as the management indicated in its press release: “Brookfield Infrastructure intends to use the net proceeds … to fund a growing backlog of committed organic growth capital expenditure projects, an active pipeline of new investment opportunities and for general working capital purposes.”

Dividend growth

Brookfield Infrastructure has been a great dividend-growth stock. With a current dividend yield of 3.4%, Brookfield pays a quarterly payout of $0.435 a share.

The company targets annual growth of 5-9% in its dividend, but the actual growth of 12% has far exceeded its distribution target.

 

I have initiated a small position in BAM STOCK

Why?

diversification of assets

bam diversification

diversification

Dividend more than doubled since 2009 & stock is over 400% in capital appreciation, yes you can find better but with this type of stable business I am satisfied with the performance. Dividend growth at a healthy averaged 7.8% per annum.

 

stock chart bam

 

T

Blog at WordPress.com.

Up ↑